Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
1.8
Over
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.03
No Pick
66%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.92
2-3
44%
1.72
4-5
15%
3.6
6+
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
45%
-11.4pp
66%
BTTS No
55%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 20%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.77/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.86
-5% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Southport
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2023 Southport Southport 1-3 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
22.10.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-1 Southport Southport İCON
09.04.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 6-0 HT 2-0 Southport Southport İCON
28.08.2021 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
07.03.2020 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
30.11.2019 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers saw off Southport 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.00 for Southport.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Southport?

Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 50%, draw 23%, Southport 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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