West Ham United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.73
1/2
10%
24.3
1/X
7%
11.9
X/1
11%
6.44
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
15%
5.51
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
3.3
2/X
6%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.50/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.06
+12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
22.0 Crosses 16.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 2.03
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 561
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.01.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
26.08.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
04.03.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
21.08.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
22.05.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
01.12.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
1-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.31 xG 0.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
283 Passes 372
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 53
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United and Brighton & Hove Albion couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, West Ham United had 46% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 54%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.31 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for West Ham United and 1.83 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

West Ham United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 36%, draw 28%, Brighton & Hove Albion 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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