Novara 0-1 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.67/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.87
+57% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-2D-1L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
16.04.2023 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
11.12.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 4-0 HT 3-0 Novara Novara İTC
17.01.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
0-1
AWAY FeralpiSalo
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Novara vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo nicked a narrow win over Novara 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Novara had 50% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 50%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Novara and 1.25 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Novara vs FeralpiSalo?

Novara 0-1 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Novara 28%, draw 30%, FeralpiSalo 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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