Casertana 0-2 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.11/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
0W-3D-1L
AWAY US Latina
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
27.01.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.10.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTCK
21.09.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 1-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
0-2
AWAY US Latina
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casertana vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina saw off Casertana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Casertana had 63% of the ball to US Latina's 37%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, US Latina led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Casertana vs US Latina?

Casertana 0-2 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Casertana 50%, draw 28%, US Latina 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casertana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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