Lumezzane 0-3 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+11.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.21/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.05
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
23.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 3-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
18.11.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
0-3
AWAY Virtus Verona
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona cruised past Lumezzane 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Virtus Verona found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 53% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 47%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lumezzane had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lumezzane and 0.33 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona?

Lumezzane 0-3 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 35%, draw 28%, Virtus Verona 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Verona) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✗ Under 2.5
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