Bourgoin 4-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.46
No
55%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.52
6+ Goals
16%
5.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.8pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
64%
-19.6pp
55%
BTTS No
36%
+19.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourgoin EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourgoin
4-1
AWAY Martigues
1.42 xG 0.76
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
148 Passes 407
58% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bourgoin vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourgoin ran out comfortable winners over Martigues 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Martigues at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bourgoin had 32% of the ball to Martigues's 68%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.42 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Bourgoin vs Martigues?

Bourgoin 4-1 Martigues in the France - Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourgoin vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated an Martigues win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bourgoin 28%, draw 19%, Martigues 53%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Martigues), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Martigues) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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