Dives 2-0 Saint-Denis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dives EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Denis EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dives
2-0
AWAY Saint-Denis
3.19 xG 1.31
40% Ball Possession 60%
23 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
223 Passes 357
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 47
21 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dives vs Saint-Denis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dives beat Saint-Denis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dives as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dives had 40% of the ball to Saint-Denis's 60%, shots finished 23-20, expected goals 3.19 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Dives vs Saint-Denis?

Dives 2-0 Saint-Denis in the France - Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dives vs Saint-Denis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dives win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dives 50%, draw 24%, Saint-Denis 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dives) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dives) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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