Stade Briochin 1-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
47%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
48%
Away Win
63%
-15.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Briochin EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 67%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.68
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +38%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Briochin
1-0
AWAY Le Havre
0.91 xG 1.38
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
218 Passes 537
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Briochin vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Briochin nicked a narrow win over Le Havre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Le Havre at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stade Briochin had 32% of the ball to Le Havre's 68%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.91 to 1.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Le Havre.

What was the final score of Stade Briochin vs Le Havre?

Stade Briochin 1-0 Le Havre in the France - Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Briochin vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stade Briochin 26%, draw 27%, Le Havre 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Havre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ Under 2.5
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