21/12/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
1-2
La Roche-Sur-Yon vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
10%
17%
Draw
17%
59%
Away Win
73%
39%
Under 2.5
38%
61%
Over 2.5
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Roche-Sur-Yon v Brest — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
La Roche-Sur-Yon
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brest
EU Bookmakers 77%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-20%
/
+18%
36%
Ball Possession
64%
8
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
217 · 66%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
395 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1
–
Crosses
30.8
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
La Roche-Sur-Yon vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brest nicked a narrow win over La Roche-Sur-Yon 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of La Roche-Sur-Yon vs Brest?
La Roche-Sur-Yon 0-1 Brest in the France - Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Roche-Sur-Yon vs Brest?
Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split La Roche-Sur-Yon 24%, draw 17%, Brest 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Brest)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRK
More France - Cup
21 Dec 2024