Thaon 2-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.72
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.64
6+ Goals
8%
6.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 26% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.7pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thaon EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 70%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.65/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.90
-26% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +132%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
18.3 Crosses 23.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thaon
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Amiens SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.90 xG 1.34
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
130 Passes 378
58% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 31
27 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Thaon Thaon 0-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRK
07.01.2023 Thaon Thaon 0-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thaon
2-1
AWAY Amiens SC
1.82 xG 0.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
154 Passes 301
61% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thaon vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thaon nicked a narrow win over Amiens SC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Amiens SC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Thaon had 40% of the ball to Amiens SC's 60%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.82 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amiens SC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Thaon and 0.50 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Thaon vs Amiens SC?

Thaon 2-1 Amiens SC in the France - Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thaon vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Thaon 22%, draw 26%, Amiens SC 52%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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