21/12/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Feignies-Aulnoye vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
17%
Draw
8%
70%
Away Win
88%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Feignies-Aulnoye v Lyon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Feignies-Aulnoye
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lyon
EU Bookmakers 94%
+14% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
0.26/1.42
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.34/0.83
-53%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+25%
/
+3%
37%
Ball Possession
63%
8
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
8
4
Corners
7
232 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
531 · 86%
8.5
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.3
13.0
Crosses
16.4
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
POST-MATCH
Feignies-Aulnoye vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lyon nicked a narrow win over Feignies-Aulnoye 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Feignies-Aulnoye vs Lyon?
Feignies-Aulnoye 1-2 Lyon in the France - Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Feignies-Aulnoye vs Lyon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Feignies-Aulnoye 13%, draw 17%, Lyon 70%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lyon)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRK
More France - Cup
21 Dec 2024