Tours 0-3 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
69%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
14.45
2-3 Goals
38%
3.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.21
6+ Goals
19%
2.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
45%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+11.4pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.3pp
69%
Away Win
88%
-18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tours EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 94%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.26/0.01
+150% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +133% / +150%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 523 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 55.0
Crosses 33.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tours
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Lorient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 430
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2018 Tours Tours 3-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR2
28.10.2017 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 0-0 Tours Tours FR2
03.01.2016 Lorient Lorient 2-2 HT 1-0 Tours Tours FRK
24.01.2009 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 1-0 Tours Tours FRK
POST-MATCH Tours vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient cruised past Tours 3-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tours and 1.50 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Tours vs Lorient?

Tours 0-3 Lorient in the France - Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tours vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Tours 16%, draw 15%, Lorient 69%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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