AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Twente — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOK
AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Twente — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar squeezed past Twente 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 45% of the ball to Twente's 55%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.32 to 0.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.33 for Twente.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 43%, draw 26%, Twente 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.