Heracles 1-1 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 21 Dec 2024

Heracles
1-1
Groningen
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heracles vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.23
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.98
X/2
8%
6.38
X/X
8%
4.47
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
19%
4.58
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.9pp
20%
Draw
28%
-7.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -23%
1.42/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.31
-8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.3 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Heracles vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Groningen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
289 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Groningen Groningen 2-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HAZ
24.04.2022 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
18.12.2021 Heracles Heracles 4-2 HT 2-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
30.01.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
23.12.2020 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
01.08.2020 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HAZ
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles and Groningen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Heracles at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heracles and 0.83 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Groningen?

Heracles 1-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Heracles 48%, draw 20%, Groningen 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heracles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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