Solihull Moors 4-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.84
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
8%
7.23
X/X
13%
5.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
2/2
14%
4.93
2/X
9%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.53/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.29
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
149 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 154 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solihull Moors
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sutton United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
04.03.2025 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-1 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
26.11.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
05.04.2021 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
05.12.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 4-1 HT 2-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
25.01.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solihull Moors
4-1
AWAY Sutton United
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Solihull Moors vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors swept aside Sutton United 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Solihull Moors as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Solihull Moors had 44% of the ball to Sutton United's 56%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Solihull Moors and 1.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Solihull Moors vs Sutton United?

Solihull Moors 4-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solihull Moors vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solihull Moors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Solihull Moors 42%, draw 30%, Sutton United 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Solihull Moors), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Solihull Moors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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