Solihull Moors 1-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.61
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.36
X/2
11%
5.8
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
17%
4.08
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.33
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solihull Moors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sutton United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
05.04.2021 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
05.12.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 4-1 HT 2-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
25.01.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
08.10.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
08.12.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 2-2 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solihull Moors
1-1
AWAY Sutton United
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Solihull Moors vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Solihull Moors had 35% of the ball to Sutton United's 65%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Solihull Moors and 1.17 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Solihull Moors vs Sutton United?

Solihull Moors 1-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solihull Moors vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solihull Moors win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Solihull Moors 39%, draw 27%, Sutton United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Solihull Moors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Solihull Moors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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