Eastleigh 2-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Mar 2025

Eastleigh
2-0 HT 1-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
England - National League – 2024/2025

Eastleigh vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.65
X/1
22%
3.95
X/2
9%
10.55
X/X
13%
5.19
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
10%
8.94
2/X
10%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.33/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.58
-31% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
74 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 53 · 92%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Eastleigh vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
17.02.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
03.10.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 5-2 HT 2-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.12.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.09.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
29.12.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 3-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL

Eastleigh 2-0 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
2-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
2 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh saw off Ebbsfleet United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eastleigh as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Eastleigh had 60% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 40%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eastleigh and 1.67 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Ebbsfleet United?

Eastleigh 2-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 48%, draw 28%, Ebbsfleet United 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastleigh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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