Maidenhead United 3-3 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.96
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.71
X/2
10%
5.54
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.79
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · X/1 at 5.71 — our 20% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -22%
1.18/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.13
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
2 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
29.12.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
27.08.2018 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
3-3
AWAY Braintree Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
2 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United and Braintree Town couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 59% of the ball to Braintree Town's 41%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maidenhead United and 0.67 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Braintree Town?

Maidenhead United 3-3 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 35%, draw 32%, Braintree Town 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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