Braintree Town 1-3 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
23%
3.92
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
7.55
2/X
7%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.28/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.53
-26% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Maidenhead United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.12.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
27.08.2018 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
1-3
AWAY Maidenhead United
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 10
1 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United beat Braintree Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Braintree Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Braintree Town had 45% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 55%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Braintree Town and 1.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Maidenhead United?

Braintree Town 1-3 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 47%, draw 27%, Maidenhead United 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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