Hartlepool United 2-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Nov 2024

Hartlepool United
2-0 HT 0-0
AFC Fylde
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Hartlepool United vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
11%
4.15
X/2
8%
10.65
X/X
16%
6.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.75
2/2
8%
7.43
2/X
9%
15.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.5pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.7pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
-32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hartlepool United vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AFC Fylde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
09.01.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
26.08.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 2-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
13.08.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
12.03.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-2 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.11.2018 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
17.03.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-3 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Hartlepool United 2-0 AFC Fylde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United got the better of AFC Fylde 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 52% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 48%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hartlepool United and 2.33 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs AFC Fylde?

Hartlepool United 2-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 48%, draw 31%, AFC Fylde 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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