Altrincham 3-0 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.24
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.3
X/2
17%
5.21
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
3.24
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.88/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.72
+38% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +84%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
5W-1D-0L
AWAY York City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 6-1 HT 3-0 York City York City İBSL
15.08.2023 York City York City 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
14.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
11.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
12.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
25.07.2020 York City York City 0-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
3-0
AWAY York City
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham cruised past York City 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Altrincham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Altrincham had 35% of the ball to York City's 65%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Altrincham and 1.00 for York City.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs York City?

Altrincham 3-0 York City in the England - National League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 38%, draw 26%, York City 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Under 2.5
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