Sutton United 1-0 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.34
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
11%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.44
X/2
14%
6.16
X/X
9%
5.05
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.98
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.64/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.39
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2021 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
05.12.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 4-1 HT 2-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
25.01.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
08.10.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
08.12.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 2-2 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
18.08.2018 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-2 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-0
AWAY Solihull Moors
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United edged past Solihull Moors 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sutton United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sutton United had 46% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 54%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sutton United and 1.17 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Solihull Moors?

Sutton United 1-0 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 36%, draw 28%, Solihull Moors 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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