Gateshead 0-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 27% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.11
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
9%
5.13
X/2
8%
6.61
X/X
14%
4.85
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.46
2/X
4%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.22/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.32
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
222 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 1-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
12.12.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 1-5 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
24.10.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-2 HT 2-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
10.11.2018 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 2-0 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
0-1
AWAY Rochdale
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale edged past Gateshead 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gateshead had 66% of the ball to Rochdale's 34%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Gateshead and 1.25 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Rochdale?

Gateshead 0-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 41%, draw 28%, Rochdale 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gateshead), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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