Barnet 5-0 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.5
X/1
14%
3.68
X/2
6%
15.65
X/X
9%
6.24
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
7%
14.25
2/X
8%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.59/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.93
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
229 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 168 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Yeovil
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2024 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
14.03.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
16.08.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
02.04.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-2 HT 1-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
11.12.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
27.03.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 3-1 HT 3-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
5-0
AWAY Yeovil
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet swept aside Yeovil 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Barnet had 70% of the ball to Yeovil's 30%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barnet and 1.50 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Yeovil?

Barnet 5-0 Yeovil in the England - National League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Barnet 57%, draw 25%, Yeovil 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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