Southend United 2-2 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.45
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.21
X/2
12%
8.43
X/X
12%
4.39
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
7%
7.09
2/X
7%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.79/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.39
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
91 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 71 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Woking
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Woking Woking 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
23.03.2024 Southend United Southend United 0-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
07.10.2023 Woking Woking 0-2 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
10.04.2023 Woking Woking 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
15.10.2022 Woking Woking 2-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United FAK
04.10.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-2
AWAY Woking
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United and Woking couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southend United had 54% of the ball to Woking's 46%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southend United and 0.67 for Woking.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Woking?

Southend United 2-2 Woking in the England - National League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Southend United 47%, draw 28%, Woking 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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