Gateshead 1-3 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.59
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.97
X/2
13%
6.04
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.66
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.15/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.49
-20% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
136 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 128 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Eastleigh
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-2 HT 0-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
25.02.2025 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
31.08.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
06.02.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
09.09.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-6 HT 0-4 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.04.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-5 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-3
AWAY Eastleigh
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh beat Gateshead 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Gateshead had 45% of the ball to Eastleigh's 55%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Gateshead and 0.83 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Eastleigh?

Gateshead 1-3 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 42%, draw 24%, Eastleigh 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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