Burgos 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2025

Burgos
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Real Zaragoza
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Burgos vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.06
Draw
34%
2.89
Away
22%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
69%
1.47
Over
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2.03
2-3
46%
1.82
4-5
12%
6.15
6+
2%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.02
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
18%
4.46
X/2
9%
7.52
X/X
23%
3.4
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
11%
6.72
2/X
5%
16.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Burgos v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Burgos The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza The Market 26%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
0.73 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Burgos vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.02 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
326 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.12.2025 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İSPK
16.02.2025 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
15.09.2024 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
05.05.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-3 HT 1-1 Burgos Burgos İS2
30.10.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
26.02.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2

Burgos 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
1 - 1
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.52 xG 1.45
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
262 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Burgos vs Real Zaragoza
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Burgos and Real Zaragoza traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

A gentle 44% lean on Burgos didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

By the numbers, Real Zaragoza saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.52 to 1.45.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Burgos against 0.33 for Real Zaragoza.

Burgos vs Real Zaragoza Result & Final Score

Burgos 1 - 1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burgos vs Real Zaragoza Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burgos 44%, draw 34%, Real Zaragoza 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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