Malaga 2-1 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2025

Malaga
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Almeria
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.87
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.24
2-3
47%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.52
6+
5%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.21
1/2
3%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
13%
6.23
X/2
14%
5.58
X/X
18%
4.54
2/1
2%
30.5
2/2
21%
3.53
2/X
5%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Malaga The Market 38%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.11 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
1.15 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Almeria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.64 xG 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 Passes 339
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Almeria Almeria 1-2 HT 0-2 Malaga Malaga HAZ
01.03.2025 Almeria Almeria 2-2 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
08.12.2024 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
27.07.2024 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria HAZ
27.07.2023 Almeria Almeria 0-1 Malaga Malaga HAZ
12.02.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
2 - 1
AWAY Almeria
1.67 xG 1.53
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
225 Passes 422
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Malaga vs Almeria
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Malaga edged past Almeria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (33% / 29% / 38%); Malaga picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Almeria saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.67 to 1.53.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Malaga against 1.00 for Almeria.

Malaga vs Almeria Result & Final Score

Malaga 2 - 1 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Malaga vs Almeria Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Malaga 33%, draw 29%, Almeria 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ BTTS Yes
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