Almeria vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Almeria v Malaga — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Malaga edged past Almeria 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Almeria against 0.67 for Malaga.
Almeria vs Malaga Result & Final Score
Almeria 1 - 2 Malaga in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Almeria vs Malaga Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Almeria 52%, draw 26%, Malaga 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria), Under 2.5 went the other way.