Deportivo Cuenca 5-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.79/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.76
+37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
416 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
19.7 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Emelec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
293 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
20.04.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
05.08.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
03.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
04.12.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
5-1
AWAY Emelec
2.54 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 332
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Deportivo Cuenca ran out comfortable winners over Emelec 5-1 in the Ecuador - Premier on 21 Dec 2025. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 52% of the ball to Emelec's 48%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.54 to 0.73.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.33 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Deportivo Cuenca 5-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 61%, draw 19%, Emelec 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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