Aucas vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 0-2 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Macara got the better of Aucas 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Aucas carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aucas had 58% of the ball to Macara's 42%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.54 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aucas and 1.67 for Macara.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Macara?
Aucas 0-2 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Aucas 61%, draw 20%, Macara 19%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.