Utrecht 1-2 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
58%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.06
1/2
7%
20.1
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
7%
8.99
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
4.79
X/X
10%
6.19
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.3
2/X
4%
13.1
Value flag · X/2 at 4.79 — our 22% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
58%
Away Win
52%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.07/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.95
+36% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
16.7 Crosses 17.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
0W-3D-3L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.15 xG 2.57
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
240 Passes 477
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
01.12.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 2-5 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
21.01.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.08.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
19.02.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 2-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-1 HT 3-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
1-2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.34 xG 1.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
285 Passes 419
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 32
32 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven nicked a narrow win over Utrecht 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Utrecht had 43% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 57%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Utrecht and 3.00 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Utrecht 1-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 21%, draw 22%, PSV Eindhoven 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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