Volendam 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 21 Dec 2025

Volendam
0-1 HT 0-0
Sparta Rotterdam
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.19
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
6.6
X/2
15%
5.54
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.18
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.75/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.19
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
20.0 Crosses 19.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.34 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
334 Passes 370
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-4 HT 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
13.05.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.09.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
30.10.2019 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
01.02.2019 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
24.08.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2

Volendam 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
0-1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.92 xG 2.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
218 Passes 377
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam nicked a narrow win over Volendam 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volendam had 40% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 60%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 0.92 to 2.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sparta Rotterdam's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Volendam and 2.33 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Volendam 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Volendam 30%, draw 27%, Sparta Rotterdam 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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