Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.16
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
11%
7.39
X/2
15%
5.05
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
22%
2.84
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.16/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.43
-13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
21.6 Crosses 20.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Groningen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
29.09.2024 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
07.05.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
21.08.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
06.02.2022 Groningen Groningen 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
21.11.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
AWAY Groningen
1.16 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
287 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles and Groningen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Groningen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 47% of the ball to Groningen's 53%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.16 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Groningen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.00 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?

Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 31%, draw 25%, Groningen 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Groningen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Groningen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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