Arsenal 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.96
Over
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
22%
6.51
2-3
38%
2.13
4-5
28%
2.42
6+
12%
4.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.51 — our 22% vs market 10.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
15%
3.78
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
9%
13.4
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arsenal win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.6pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb The Market 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.90/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/4.31
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -51%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.1
13.3 Crosses 5.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
467 Passes 352
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24.11.2015 Arsenal Arsenal 3-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb ŞMP
16.09.2015 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal ŞMP
23.08.2006 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb ŞMP
08.08.2006 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
3-0
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
2.48 xG 0.10
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
476 Passes 249
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal ran out comfortable winners over Dinamo Zagreb 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal had 63% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 37%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.48 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Arsenal and 0.75 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Arsenal 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb in the Champions League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 65%, draw 20%, Dinamo Zagreb 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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