Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.97
Over
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.55
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
26%
3.19
6+
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.25
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
9%
6.41
X/2
17%
5.44
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.29
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest The Market 43%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.8 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2-0
AWAY Brest
1.93 xG 0.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
378 Passes 408
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk beat Brest 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Shakhtar Donetsk made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 47% of the ball to Brest's 53%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.93 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 Brest in the Champions League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 31%, draw 28%, Brest 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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