Celtic 1-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.63
Over
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.88
2-3
35%
2.06
4-5
28%
2.49
6+
13%
5.34
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.88 — our 24% vs market 12.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.1
X/1
22%
4.03
X/2
6%
19.0
X/X
8%
8.54
2/1
7%
19.9
2/2
10%
15.0
2/X
7%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Celtic win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys The Market 14%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
3.11/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.08
+34% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
530 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
26.5 Crosses 12.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
1-0
AWAY Young Boys
1.85 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
423 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic edged past Young Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Celtic had 59% of the ball to Young Boys's 41%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.85 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Young Boys?

Celtic 1-0 Young Boys in the Champions League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celtic 57%, draw 21%, Young Boys 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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