Portsmouth 2-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Feb 2025

Portsmouth
2-1 HT 0-0
Queens Park Rangers
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.7
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.34
X/2
11%
5.81
X/X
15%
4.07
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.21
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.62/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.12
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
29.6 Crosses 18.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.99 xG 1.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
190 Passes 374
60% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
28.08.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
05.02.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
26.01.2019 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers FAK
01.02.2011 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
09.11.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Portsmouth 2-1 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
2-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.68 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
172 Passes 224
57% Pass Accuracy 63%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth nicked a narrow win over Queens Park Rangers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Portsmouth made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portsmouth had 47% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 53%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.68 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portsmouth and 1.17 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers?

Portsmouth 2-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 37%, draw 30%, Queens Park Rangers 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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