Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Villarreal v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Villarreal 2-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal shaded a tight game against Valencia 2-1.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Valencia saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.34 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Villarreal against 1.00 for Valencia.
Villarreal vs Valencia Result & Final Score
Villarreal 2 - 1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 58%, draw 24%, Valencia 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.