KuPS Kuopio 3-4 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
62%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.5pp
62%
Away Win
76%
-14.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.88 xG 1.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
484 Passes 268
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİK
24.08.2025 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
19.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
08.02.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
09.03.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Jaro Jaro HAZ
04.10.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-4
AWAY Jaro
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro edged past KuPS Kuopio 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 47% of the ball to Jaro's 53%, shots finished 4-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.33 for Jaro.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

KuPS Kuopio 3-4 Jaro in the Finland - League Cup on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 15%, draw 22%, Jaro 62%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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