Angers vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Angers v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Angers vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Angers 0-1 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Lille edged past Angers 1-0 on their travels.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.71, roughly 58%.
The match data tells the story: Angers had 45% of the ball to Lille's 55%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.39 to 2.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lille's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Angers and 1.17 for Lille.
Angers vs Lille Result & Final Score
Angers 0-1 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Angers vs Lille Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Angers 27%, draw 22%, Lille 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.