Nantes 2-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.84
No
48%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.67
2-3
44%
1.73
4-5
17%
4.06
6+
9%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.45
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
14%
5.11
X/2
10%
6.03
X/X
14%
4.11
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
8%
13.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Nantes The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.22 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.14
1.25 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.77
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.3 Crosses 21.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Le Havre
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
388 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
30.03.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 3-2 HT 2-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
24.11.2024 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
14.04.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
26.11.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
23.02.2013 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
2-0
AWAY Le Havre
1.26 xG 0.70
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
132 Passes 445
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Nantes vs Le Havre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nantes took care of Le Havre 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Nantes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.84, roughly 54%.

Under the surface, Le Havre saw more of the ball, 71% to 29%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Nantes against 1.00 for Le Havre.

Nantes vs Le Havre Result & Final Score

Nantes 2-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nantes vs Le Havre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nantes 42%, draw 28%, Le Havre 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantes), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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