Auxerre 0-3 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 22 Feb 2026

Auxerre
0-3 HT 0-3
Rennes
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.69
No
51%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
33%
3.18
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.45
6+
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.15
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.09
X/2
11%
5.4
X/X
10%
4.51
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.43
2/X
9%
12.55
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Auxerre v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes The Market 42%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.35/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.36
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
18.8 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Auxerre vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rennes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 460
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Rennes Rennes 2-2 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
06.04.2025 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
03.11.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 4-0 HT 2-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
11.03.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
11.09.2022 Rennes Rennes 5-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
12.02.2014 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FRK

Auxerre 0-3 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
0-3
AWAY Rennes
0.90 xG 1.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
253 Passes 378
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Auxerre vs Rennes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rennes ran out comfortable winners over Auxerre 3-0 on the road.

From a near-even 38% / 25% / 37% read, it was Rennes who turned the coin-flip their way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.69, roughly 59%.

The match data tells the story: Rennes saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.90 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Auxerre against 1.33 for Rennes.

Auxerre vs Rennes Result & Final Score

Auxerre 0-3 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Rennes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 38%, draw 25%, Rennes 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Auxerre), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auxerre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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