Nice vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nice v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Nice vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nice 3-3 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Nice and Lorient finished all square at 3-3. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
A gentle 46% lean on Nice didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 49%. At 1.76 (~57%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: Nice had 39% of the ball to Lorient's 61%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 3.04 to 2.22.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nice and 1.17 for Lorient.
Nice vs Lorient Result & Final Score
Nice 3-3 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nice vs Lorient Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nice 46%, draw 23%, Lorient 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.