Malacateco 1-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.72/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.49
-5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
31.08.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.03.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
26.01.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.10.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
03.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco and Achuapa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Malacateco carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Malacateco and 0.33 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Achuapa?

Malacateco 1-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 64%, draw 22%, Achuapa 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malacateco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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