HNK Cibalia vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Cibalia v Jarun — Team-Based Signals
HNK Cibalia vs Jarun Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
HNK Cibalia 3-1 Jarun — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Cibalia got the better of Jarun 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had HNK Cibalia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, HNK Cibalia had 72% of the ball to Jarun's 28%, shots finished 12-3.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.25 for Jarun.
What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Jarun?
HNK Cibalia 3-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Jarun?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 54%, draw 26%, Jarun 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.