Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Al Gharafa v Al Shamal — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Gharafa 0-1 Al Shamal — Actual Match Statistics
Al Shamal edged past Al Gharafa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shamal as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Al Shamal saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.71 to 0.71 — by the quality of chances, Al Gharafa deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Al Gharafa against 0.83 for Al Shamal.
Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal Result & Final Score
Al Gharafa 0 - 1 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 30%, draw 26%, Al Shamal 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.