Mosta vs Gzira United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mosta v Gzira United — Team-Based Signals
Mosta vs Gzira United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mosta 0-1 Gzira United — Actual Match Statistics
Gzira United edged past Mosta 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Mosta's favour, shots finished 5-11.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gzira United led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Mosta against 2.17 for Gzira United.
Mosta vs Gzira United Result & Final Score
Mosta 0 - 1 Gzira United in the MALTP on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mosta vs Gzira United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mosta 30%, draw 29%, Gzira United 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.