Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Cienciano
PER
5-2
HT 3-2
Alianza Atletico
PER
Cienciano 1-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Cienciano and Alianza Atletico shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cienciano at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cienciano had 57% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 43%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cienciano and 1.00 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico?
Cienciano 1-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 64%, draw 20%, Alianza Atletico 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cienciano), Over 2.5 went the other way.