Sporting Braga II 2-0 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.19/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.89
-9% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AD Marco 09
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2026 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-1 HT 1-1 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
28.09.2025 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 2-2 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
2-0
AWAY AD Marco 09
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs AD Marco 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II saw off AD Marco 09 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Braga II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 50% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 50%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.50 for AD Marco 09.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs AD Marco 09?

Sporting Braga II 2-0 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 44%, draw 27%, AD Marco 09 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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